Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.033232 0.038686 0.044687 0.051771 0.059895 0.068911 0.079666
2025-09-14 0.025033 0.032129 0.040657 0.051624 0.065311 0.081789 0.103085
2025-09-21 0.019027 0.026621 0.036481 0.050139 0.068472 0.092122 0.124820
2025-09-28 0.015143 0.022881 0.033641 0.049551 0.072301 0.103451 0.149073
2025-10-05 0.013256 0.021429 0.033495 0.052373 0.080875 0.121932 0.185070
2025-10-12 0.011558 0.019880 0.032856 0.054229 0.088114 0.139191 0.221220
2025-10-19 0.009536 0.017413 0.030357 0.052746 0.089924 0.148409 0.246225
2025-10-26 0.008114 0.015663 0.028685 0.052243 0.093051 0.159782 0.275550
2025-11-02 0.006797 0.013844 0.026581 0.050637 0.094019 0.167605 0.299748
2025-11-09 0.005774 0.012379 0.024856 0.049395 0.095348 0.176004 0.325559
2025-11-16 0.005074 0.011410 0.023883 0.049352 0.098731 0.188158 0.358894
2025-11-23 0.004349 0.010258 0.022374 0.048049 0.099557 0.195741 0.384688
2025-11-30 0.004042 0.009960 0.022557 0.050169 0.107300 0.216975 0.438013
2025-12-07 0.003584 0.009241 0.021761 0.050175 0.110865 0.230713 0.478650
2025-12-14 0.003083 0.008329 0.020407 0.048802 0.111428 0.238665 0.508865
2025-12-21 0.002714 0.007665 0.019498 0.048266 0.113658 0.250106 0.547047
2025-12-28 0.002598 0.007622 0.020022 0.051039 0.123371 0.277737 0.620667
2026-01-04 0.002433 0.007421 0.020135 0.052860 0.131157 0.302055 0.689577
2026-01-11 0.002117 0.006741 0.018958 0.051417 0.131303 0.310029 0.724514
2026-01-18 0.001887 0.006259 0.018212 0.050928 0.133610 0.322905 0.771189
2026-01-25 0.001641 0.005677 0.017107 0.049362 0.133118 0.329440 0.804365
2026-02-01 0.001440 0.005193 0.016188 0.048149 0.133340 0.337586 0.841861
2026-02-08 0.001305 0.004890 0.015729 0.048108 0.136506 0.352870 0.897100